Group housing

Affordable and Resilient Housing Infrastructure

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Affordable and Resilient Housing Infrastructure

Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Infrastructure
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Real Estate
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
15% - 20% (in ROI)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
USD 100 million - USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
< USD 500,000
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8) No Poverty (SDG 1) Gender Equality (SDG 5)

Business Model Description

Invest in B2B/B2C models engaged in building affordable homes for the population in peri-urban, informal settlements, especially the areas surrounding Manila or those living in disaster-prone areas in Metro Manila, with a focus on sustainability. (15) In this model, the local government unit (LGU) plays a lead entrepreneurial (investor-of-first-resort) role.

Returns are arranged by the LGU and the Department of Socialized Housing and Urban Development, which range from 15% to 20%. To ensure transferability and sustainability of the program, the LGU will charge rental fees comparable to other public housing projects i.e. between USD 14 to 36 per month, lower than the average monthly rental for a comparable private apartment unit, about USD 50 to 70.

Valenzuela City Housing: With a total of 13 hectares, the Disiplina Village Ugong and Bignay accommodate around 4,594 informal settler families, clearing up Valenzuela City (a city within the Greater Metro Manila Area) from informal settler families (ISFs) living in danger zones. The floor area of each unit is 28 sq. m. including the loft. The project was initiated and implemented by the City Government with the funding support of the private sector such as the San Miguel Corporation and MERALCO, amounting to around USD 1.5 million. To ensure the transferability and sustainability of the program, the “Ordinance Establishing Disiplina Village as the Flagship Socialized Housing Program of Valenzuela City”, Ordinance No. 36, Series of 2011 was enacted by the City Council, that included provisions on basic services and funding being the responsibility of the city government to sustain a very low rental cost of only USD 50 per month, the lowest rate in a public rental housing project in the country.

Quezon City Housing: In 2014, Phinma Properties and the Quezon City Local Government partnered to build the Bistekville II Socialized Housing in Barangay Kaligayahan, with 1,101 housing units in the 4.8-ha land (4). Each socialized housing unit is amortized to the customer for around USD 50 per month for 30 years.

Between 2013 and 2019, 5,698 families have been provided safe and permanent shelters in Quezon City through social housing initiatives funded by the local city government. The current programme has finalized 37 communities and aims to complete 44 more communities by the end of 2019.

Expected Impact

Improving well-being and social security of low income households through providing affordable housing.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Region
  • Philippines: National Capital Region (NCR)
  • Philippines: Western Visayas
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Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Infrastructure

Development need
Infrastructure needs cut across multiple sectors including housing, transportation and utilities. Based on a 2015 study by JICA, the annual loss in GDP due to inadequate infrastructure amounts to USD 20 Billion.(4) With the implementation of the "Build Build Build" policy, government spending on infrastructure increased, amounting to ~19.5% of total government spending in 2019.

Post-pandemic, inadequacy in key infrastructure across agriculture, transportation and logistics, education and energy persists, thereby prompting continued interest in promoting public-private partnership for infrastructure development. (1)

Policy priority
The Philippine Development Plan for 2023-2028 specifically focuses on the criticality of the Infrastructure sector and recognises that there is further demand for the development of the sector across different aspects (energy, transportation, housing) and regions.

Additionally, DBM's report on the 2022 national budget in 2021 highlights the importance of greater investment in social and economic services in line with the government’s COVID-19 response and recovery agenda. In particular, health, social welfare, and infrastructure development continue to be prioritized to manage the risk of similar outbreaks and boost economic growth. (1)

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
The Philippine Statistics Authority has noted that the areas in the Philippines with low income lack access to basic infrastructure, such as clean water sources and sanitation. Regions such as BARMM (84% access to water and 51.6% access to basic sanitation) and Central Visayas (94% access to water and 70% access to sanitation) were highlighted. (5)

Furthermore, according to the National Council on Disability Affairsin in 1982, the physical design of the infrastructures falls below the standards set in the 1982 Accessibility Law, and thus makes them difficult to access and use by pregnant women, parents with very young children, older people, and persons with disabilities. (1)

Investment opportunities introduction
Multiple policies introduced in recent years support creation of additional PEZA zones, and the target of 1 million new housing per year set by the Department of Socialized Housing and Urban Development. Devolution of national funding to local governments provides opportunities for investment to developers within the infrastructure space. (1)

Key bottlenecks introduction
The World Bank in its report titled, "Philippine Economic Update June 2021", pinpoints that the main challenges within the industry are long timeframes which result in slower budget execution rates. Coupled with the new policies, there's a need to improve the capacity of local government workers to effectively mobilize capital to create public-private partnerships.

Sub Sector

Real Estate

Development need
The country's path towards acceptable housing is constrained due to several factors: (1) The ratio of unit housing cost to income has risen such that poor households have minimal to negative income left after paying for housing expenditure, while low-income but not poor households are vulnerable to experience the same.

(2) there are few low-cost alternatives to homeownership in the formal market while many low-cost housing projects are far from Metro Manila's city centers, which can significantly add to the households' transportation cost; and (3) innovative housing finance is limited. (10)

Policy priority
Acknowledging the persistent backlogs, the Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028 prioritises the provision of 12.5 million decent housing units for the informal settler families, homeless, and underprivileged. To fulfill the target of building one million houses annually until 2028, the government implements the Pambansang Pabahay para sa Piilpino (4PH) Program. (1)

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Aside from the property disputes that arise due to informal settling, it is important to note that majority of these dwellers are from low-income families, including women and children. Informality of such infrastructure leads to persistent issues related to inadequate sanitation, lack of access to safe and clean water, and safe electricity sources.

Providing low cost and sustainable housing can sufficiently improve the security for such families, especially women and children, enabling them to focus on other pressing matters. (1)

Investment opportunities introduction
With the target of 1 million housing per year, the government is in need of developers and investors that are willing to build such affordable housing infrastructure across the country. Multiple cities such as Quezon City, Valenzuela City, Iligan and Cebu have also expressed keen interest in partnerships to provide housing solutions. (1)

Key bottlenecks introduction
Industry and government agency leaders took note that Government budgets and priorities on the local level vary, and can be a challenge even for the national agencies to gather support to enable housing solutions to be built within the region. Government processes around permits and building accreditation are time-consuming and slow down the approval process.

Industry

Engineering and Construction Services

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Affordable and Resilient Housing Infrastructure

Business Model

Invest in B2B/B2C models engaged in building affordable homes for the population in peri-urban, informal settlements, especially the areas surrounding Manila or those living in disaster-prone areas in Metro Manila, with a focus on sustainability. (15) In this model, the local government unit (LGU) plays a lead entrepreneurial (investor-of-first-resort) role.

Returns are arranged by the LGU and the Department of Socialized Housing and Urban Development, which range from 15% to 20%. To ensure transferability and sustainability of the program, the LGU will charge rental fees comparable to other public housing projects i.e. between USD 14 to 36 per month, lower than the average monthly rental for a comparable private apartment unit, about USD 50 to 70.

Valenzuela City Housing: With a total of 13 hectares, the Disiplina Village Ugong and Bignay accommodate around 4,594 informal settler families, clearing up Valenzuela City (a city within the Greater Metro Manila Area) from informal settler families (ISFs) living in danger zones. The floor area of each unit is 28 sq. m. including the loft. The project was initiated and implemented by the City Government with the funding support of the private sector such as the San Miguel Corporation and MERALCO, amounting to around USD 1.5 million. To ensure the transferability and sustainability of the program, the “Ordinance Establishing Disiplina Village as the Flagship Socialized Housing Program of Valenzuela City”, Ordinance No. 36, Series of 2011 was enacted by the City Council, that included provisions on basic services and funding being the responsibility of the city government to sustain a very low rental cost of only USD 50 per month, the lowest rate in a public rental housing project in the country.

Quezon City Housing: In 2014, Phinma Properties and the Quezon City Local Government partnered to build the Bistekville II Socialized Housing in Barangay Kaligayahan, with 1,101 housing units in the 4.8-ha land (4). Each socialized housing unit is amortized to the customer for around USD 50 per month for 30 years.

Between 2013 and 2019, 5,698 families have been provided safe and permanent shelters in Quezon City through social housing initiatives funded by the local city government. The current programme has finalized 37 communities and aims to complete 44 more communities by the end of 2019.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

USD 100 million - USD 1 billion

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

5% - 10%

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

6.8 million housing backlog. 1 million yearly housing target.

Philippine real estate industry generated over USD 2.2 billion in the second quarter of 2021. (13) For affordable housing, total estimated market size is around USD 45 to 100 million (18) Construction industry's annual growth is projected to be at 7.3% from 2023–2026 (20) For affordable housing (sociliased, low cost, economic), annual growth rate is at 8.75% from 2022-2030 (18)

According to the 2023-2028 Philippine Development Plan (PDP), the Philippines' housing backlog increased to 6.8 million between 2017 and 2022. The Department of Human Settlements and Urban Development aims to construct 1 million housing units per annum and estimates required investment of ~USD 720 million to address this backlog. (17)

Between 2016 and 2030, an estimated 73,836 units of social housing will be in demand. (15) Most inhabitants in Metro Manila are those who have migrated from the countryside, or are the children of migrants. They are typically from low-income segments and lack facilities that are otherwise available to more affluent population segments.

Meanwhile, the selling price of electricity in the Philippines is among the highest in the world and the electricity cost constitutes a substantial part of household expenses, especially in the lower and middle income households. Also, many informal settlers in Metro Manila often live in disaster-prone areas. This underlines the need for affordable and energy efficient housing in these areas.

Indicative Return

ROI
Describes an expected return from the IOA investment over its lifetime.

15% - 20%

GPM
Describes an expected percentage of revenue (that is actual profit before adjusting for operating cost) from the IOA investment.

> 25%

Returns are project dependent but are targeted at 15 to 25% (18) 57.85% gross profit margin estimated from 1H19 overall numerations of 8990 Holdings. (19) Based on expert consultations, returns may differ based on the nature of projects, but are targeted at 15 to 25%. (18) Per industry leaders within the sector, if housing prices requirement is adjusted, around 10% to 25% returns can be generated

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Constructing affordable housing under the DSHUD and local government program suggests that the payment for construction can be covered by Pag-ibig upfront for the developers. Therefore, investment returns start post construction of the infrastructure.

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

< USD 500,000

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - CapEx Intensive

Financing or constructing affordable housing takes a considerable amount of capital from construction of housing, as well as the necessary infrastructure around it.

Market - Highly Regulated

Investment in housing is challenging as it requires collaboration across different levels of government and communities.

Political Support

Some people oppose affordable housing projects as they believe such projects can lower property value or increase crime rate. This lack of political support can make it difficult to get affordable housing projects approved.

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

In 2015, around 500,000 families out of 23 million households in the Philippines occupied houses and lots without paying rent and without the owner’s consent. An estimate of over 6.8 million housing units is required to cover the growing population as of 2022 (1).

Data shows that even if an average of 200,000 housing units will be produced annually from 2012, backlog will persist at 6.5 million households in 2030 (2). Rapid urbanization in the country results in an increase in slum population. In 2010, over 4 million people were estimated to be living in Metro Manila slums. By 2050, this is expected to rise to over 9 million (5).

The informal settlements face poor sanitation, inadequate water supply, insecurity of tenure, and insufficient incomes, among many concerns. (6).

Gender & Marginalisation

With the fastest urbanization rate at 4.1% in the Southeast Asian region, the Philippines has recorded 51.73 M people (51.2%) living in urban areas in 2015, which may result to congestion in urban cities, forcing population to live in slum areas. Violence, harassment, and poor health are among the risks faced especially among urban poor women living in informal settlements.

Absence of proper sanitation facilities requires women to go out of their homes at night to urinate or defecate, exposing them to risks of violent attack or harassment. Women giving births in urban slums are prone to infection or even death due to the unsanitary conditions of their environment.

The drug war launched in 2016 recorded the dire situation of women who were in constant terror due to the fear of their husbands or sons being killed even if they do not use illegal drugs (8).

Expected Development Outcome

Construction of affordable housing will contribute in the country's goal to provide 6 million decent housing units for the informal settler families, homeless, and underprivileged by 2028 (1).

The housing program is seen to generate 1.7 M jobs once it goes full blast with construction (9). These livable communities aim to provide equitable, inclusive, and resilient opportunities to improve human well-being and contribute to economic vitality (1).

With sufficient and accessible sanitation facilities that come with decent housing, families will be able to improve and take care of their health better. Children may perform well in school because they now have an environment at home conducive for learning.

Gender & Marginalisation

In building these secured and decent housing communities, there are opportunities to have shelter initiatives responding to practical needs of the underserved sectors, such as provision of livelihood trainings, access to health clinics and basic utilities.

Their health will be taken care of. Regardless of their sector, all families will have equal opportunities to improve their lives. Through affordable housing, women, and other marginalized sectors, would have the opportunity to own housing units registered to their names and will feel a sense of security from eviction.

Primary SDGs addressed

Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11)
11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities

11.1.1 Proportion of urban population living in informal, informal settlements or inadequate housing

Current Value

2015 baseline data shows 3.2% of population which translates to around 6.8 million housing needs.

Target Value

2030 targets are set to <1%

Secondary SDGs addressed

8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
1 - No Poverty
5 - Gender Equality

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Low-income or informal settling families will benefit from decent and affordable housing.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Women would have access to better and decent housing.

Planet

Relocating families to better housing with proper water and sanitation management will reduce waste going to water bodies such as riverways and other unintended areas.

Corporates

Developers are crucial in addressing the housing requirements of low-income/informal settling families, as well as ensuring that the housing units are affordable and of high quality. They help build homes and provide housing solutions for those who are in need.

Public sector

Local government agencies are responsible for enforcing housing regulations, providing housing services and infrastructure, and ensuring that affordable housing initiatives are accessible, effective, and efficient in meeting the needs of low-income/informal settling families.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

Increased access to affordable housing can improve employee productivity, reduce turnover, and attract workers to the area.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Affordable housing can reduce income-based disparities by providing subsidized options for low-income families, and address gender-based violence issues by providing safe housing, and promoting equal access to housing for all genders.

Planet

With adequate basic utilities, families will be able to keep their homes and environment cleaner, resulting in lower land and air pollution.

Corporates

An increase in affordable housing can create a more stable customer base and generate economic growth in the local community. Further, affordable housing can positively impact the overall housing market by increasing demand and, potentially, lowering prices.

Public sector

Addressing the housing needs of low-income/informal settling families can reduce the burden on social services and enhance the overall well-being of the community.

Outcome Risks

Financial: Socialized housing may affect property value and marketability which can discourage further private investment. Social: Socialized housing stigma may affect property values, community opposition leading to regulatory hurdles, displacement concerns, limited amenities affecting residents’ quality of life.

Environmental: Mismanaged housing construction may lead to environmental degradation due to soil erosion and deforestation. Urban sprawl causes congestion leading to pollution. Improper implementation of socialized housing due to politicking and lack of reliable data will further discriminate and disparage poor families, especially women and children.

Impact Risks

Social: Lack of affordable housing limits property ownership among low-income families. It increases the number of informal settler families, living in hazardous areas. Health and well-being: Poor living conditions affect physical and mental well-being of dwellers, and limited access to healthcare services impact health outcomes of low-income families.

Educational: Unsecured housing disrupts schooling due to relocation, limits access to quality formal and informal education, stunts academic and personal growth, and decreases employability. Environmental: Informal settlements, situated in non-residential zones, increase pollution and may lead to mismanagement of natural resources.

Gender inequality/marginalization: Informal settlements further limit disadvantaged groups to access government services, which hinder their social, economic and political development.

Impact Classification

C—Contribute to Solutions

What

Construction of Affordable Housing for Low-Income Informal Settlers

Risk

Collection of payments from low-income families might be tedious to undertake, thus government intervention is needed

Contribution

Provide housing solution to address 6.8 million housing backlogs as of 2022

Impact Thesis

Improving well-being and social security of low income households through providing affordable housing.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

RA 7279 or the Urban Development and Housing Act of 1992 provides that socialized housing be provided for the underprivileged and the homeless (Article V, Sec. 15).

National Housing and Urban Development Sector Plan 2040 is a long-term framework that guides the development of sustainable and resilient cities and communities in the Philippines. It aims to provide decent and affordable housing, improve urban infrastructure, and promote inclusive growth.

Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028: Subchapter 2.3. Establish Livable Communities expresses that by 2028, livable communities are established, and human settlements are upgraded offering equitable, inclusive, resilient and quality life for all Filipinos.

Financial Environment

RA 7279: Urban Development and Housing Act of 1992 (Article V, Sec. 20) provides several incentives for private sector participating in socialized housing including ease of doing business, namely: reduction and simplification of qualification and accreditation requirements and simplification of financing procedures, as well as tax exemptions such as capital gains tax or ordinary income tax.

RA 9679: Home Development Mutual Fund of 2009: Allocation of around USD 4.5 billion for developmental loan for affordable housing for small to medium developers and companies RA 10884: Balanced Housing Development Program Amendments: Subdivision and condominium developers are required to develop 5-15% socialized housing or “socialized condominiums” of their total project area.

Regulatory Environment

RA 7279: Urban Development and Housing Act of 1992: Philippine law aimed at providing adequate housing for underprivileged families and promoting balanced growth between urban and rural areas while enhancing the quality of life of the urban poor. RA 7644: New Rent Control Law, Section 1 sets the allowable maximum increase of rent for the five-year period.

RA 11201: DHSUD Act: Section 5.III.c Implement a single regulatory system that shall govern all activities relative to...housing and urban development projects. RA 7160: Local Government Code of 1991: Chapter 2. Section 17. Basic Services and Facilities (of the Local Government Units), (viii) Programs and projects for low-cost housing and other mass dwellings.

Marketplace Participants

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Private Sector

Private sector: PHINMA Properties; Ayala Land; Megaworld Corporation; SM Prime; Vista Land; Filinvest Land; Rockwell Land Corporation; Robinsons Land, Corp.; Century Properties; DMCI Homes; Sta. Lucia Land; Federal Real Estate, Imperial Properties, Arthaland; Ayala Corporation's Ayala Ventures, Philippine Investment Alliance for Infrastructure (PINAI), BDO Unibank, Metropolitan Bank and Trust Company (Metrobank), Land Bank of the Philippines

Government

Department of Human Settlements and Urban Development; National Housing Authorities; Philippine National Railways; PAG-IBIG; Landbank; Bataan Province; Quezon City; Iloilo City; Bacolod City; Marikina City

Multilaterals

UN Habitat; Asian Development Bank; World Bank

Non-Profit

Habitat for Humanity; Galing Pook Foundation; Hilti Foundation, Gawad Kalinga Foundation

Public-Private Partnership

Pambansang Pabahay Para sa Pilipino (4PH) Program launched in Bulacan, Bataan, Iloilo City, Quezon City, Marikina City, Roxas City, Valenzuela City, Malabon City; Ayala Land, Inc; Filinvest Land, Inc; New San Jose Builders; Rising City Residential Project in Bulacan

Target Locations

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country static map
semi-urban

Philippines: National Capital Region (NCR)

Priority area of the current administration; LGUs signed MOA with the Department of Human Settlements and Urban Development
semi-urban

Philippines: Western Visayas

Priority area of the current administration; LGUs signed MOA with the Department of Human Settlements and Urban Development

References

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